A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper

by
Edition: Reprint
Format: Trade Paper
Pub. Date: 1997-09-26
Publisher(s): Anchor
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Summary

With the same user-friendly, quirky, and perceptive approach that madeInnumeracya bestseller, John Allen Paulos travels though the pages of the daily newspaper showing how math and numbers are a key element in many of the articles we read every day. From the Senate, SATs, and sex, to crime, celebrities, and cults, he takes stories that may not seem to involve mathematics at all and demonstrates how a lack of mathematical knowledge can hinder our understanding of them.

Table of Contents

Introductionp. 1
Lani "Quota Queen" Guinier: Voting, Power, and Mathematicsp. 9
Bosnia: Is It Vietnam or World War II?: Psychological Availability and Anchoring Effectsp. 14
Recession Forecast If Steps Not Taken: Unpredictability, Chaos, and Pooh-Poohing the Pooh-Bahsp. 19
Afta Nafta, Lafta; Free Traders Exult: Headlines and the Inverted Pyramidp. 27
Pakistan's Bhutto Gambles in Trade Negotiations: On Dice and Bluffingp. 30
Clinton, Dole in Sparring Roles: Who's News and Grammar Checkersp. 34
Iraqi Death Toll Unknown: Benchmark Figures in War, Crisis, and the Economyp. 38
D'Amato Agrees Hillary Most Honest Person Clinton Knows: Ambiguity and Nonstandard Modelsp. 42
Fraud Alleged in Pennsylvania Senate Race: Political and Mathematical Regressionp. 45
Cult Members Accuse Government of Plot: Newspapers, Coincidences, and Conspiracy Theoriesp. 49
Company Charged with Ethnic Bias in Hiring: Test Disparities Need Not Imply Racismp. 59
SAT Top Quartile Score Declines: Correlation, Prediction, and Improvementp. 63
Guns Will Soon Kill More Than Cars: Comparability and Intensityp. 67
Abortion Activists Bomb Clinic: Prohibitions and Arithmetical Argumentsp. 69
DNA Fingers Murderer: Life, Death, and Conditional Probabilityp. 72
Darts Trounce the Pros: Luck and the Marketp. 74
Cellular Phones Tied to Brain Cancer: Multiplication, Health, and Businessp. 79
GM Trucks Explode on Side Collision: From Pity to Policyp. 83
The $32 Billion Pepsi Challenge: Advertising and Numerical Craftinessp. 86
Brief Fads Dominate Toy Industry: S-Curves and Noveltyp. 90
Area Residents Respond to Story: Repetition, Repetition, Repetitionp. 94
Researchers Look to Local News for Trends: The Present, the Future, and Ponzi Schemesp. 96
A Cyberpunk Woody Allen: How to Write a Profile of the Fledgling Celebrityp. 101
Tsongkerclintkinbro Wins: Everybody's Got an Anglep. 104
Florida Dentist Accused of Intentionally Spreading AIDS: Rumors, Self-Fulfilling Prophecies, and National Obsessionsp. 107
Interlude: Selves, Heroes, and Dissociationp. 110
Candidates Contradict Each Other's Denials: Self-Reference, Intentions, and the Newsp. 113
Special Investigator Says Full Story Not Told: Compressibility and the Complexity Horizonp. 120
Newspaper Circulation Down: Factoids on Tabloidsp. 126
Computers, Faxes, Copiers Still Rare in Russia: Information and the Commissarsp. 128
Ranking Health Risks: Experts and Laymen Differ: The Dyscalculia Syndromep. 133
Asbestos Removal Closes NYC Schools: Contaminated Mountains Out of Mole Spillsp. 140
Super Collider a Waste of Money: Science Journalism and Advocacyp. 144
Harvard Psychiatrist Believes Patients Abducted by Aliens: Mathematically Creating One's Own Pseudosciencep. 147
FDA Caught Between Opposing Protesters: Statistical Tests and Confidence Intervalsp. 151
Senators Eye Hawaii Health Care Plan: Scaling Up Is So Very Hard to Dop. 154
Breakthrough Forecast by End of Decade: You Can't Know More Than You Knowp. 157
Rodent Population Patterns Difficult to Fathom: Ecology, Chaos, and the Newsp. 160
More Dismal Math Scores for U.S. Students: X, Y, and Up. 164
761 Calories, 428 Mgs. Sodium, 22.6 Grams of Fat per Serving: Meaningless Precisionp. 171
Top Designs for the Busy Working Woman: Fashion, Unpredictability, and Toastp. 173
Agassi Wins Again: Scoring and Amplifying Differencesp. 176
New Survey Reveals Changing Attitudes: Societal Gas Lawsp. 178
Near-Perfect Game for Roger Clemens: How Many Runs in the Long Runp. 181
Bucks County and Environs: A Note on Maps and Graphic Gamesp. 184
Ask About Your Mother-in-Law's Lladro: Explanation, Advice, and Physicsp. 186
Garden Club Gala: Incidence Matrices on the Society Pagesp. 189
Ten Reasons We Hate Our Bosses: Lists and Linearityp. 191
Stallone on Worst-Dressed List: Traits and Ratesp. 193
New Biography Fills Much-Needed Gap: Books and Newsp. 195
Which Way Mecca?: Religion in the Paperp. 197
R. L. Vickler, 85, Aide to Truman: The Length of Obituariesp. 199
Conclusionp. 201
Bibliographyp. 205
Indexp. 207
Table of Contents provided by Blackwell. All Rights Reserved.

Excerpts

The Top 10 list has become a staple of newspapers, television, and magazines for a variety of reasons, the top ten being:

1.  Ten is a common and familiar number, the base of our number system. Numbers are rounded to 10 or to multiples of ten or tenths.  The resulting distortion, of course, need not have much to do with reality.  We're told, for example, that we use 10 percent of our brain power, that 10 percent of us consume 90 percent of the world's resources, and that decades define us.  (Is there anything more vapid than explanation by decade? In the free love, antiwar sixties, hippies felt so and so; the greed of the eighties led yuppies to do such and such; sullen and unread Generation Xers never do anything.)

2.  People like information to be encapsulated; they're impatient with long, discursive explanations.  They want the bare facts, and they want them now.

3.  The list is consistent with a linear approach to problems.  Nothing is complex or convoluted; every factor can be ranked.  If we do a, b, or c, then x, y, or z will happen.  Proportionality reigns.

4.  It's a kind of ritual.  Numbers are often associated with rites, and this is a perfect example.

5.  It has biblical resonance, the Ten Commandments being one of its first instances.  Others are the ten plagues on the Egyptians, the ten days between Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur, the requirement that at least ten men be present for public prayer, and Joseph's ten brothers.

6.  The list can be a complete story.  It has a beginning: 1, 2, 3; a middle: 4, 5, 6, 7; and an end, 8, 9, 10.  Many stories in the news are disconnected; the list is unitary.

7.  It's easy to write; there is no need to come up with transitions.  Or even complete sentences.  The same holds for the 10, 50, and 100 years ago today fillers.

8.  It's flexible and capable of handling any subject.  Since there are never any clear criteria for what constitutes an entry on such a list, items on short lists can easily be split, and those on long lists can just as easily be combined.

9.  Lists are widely read (or heard) and talked about, but don't require much room in the paper or much airtime.

10.  People realize it's an artificial form and like to see if it's going to run out of good points before it gets to 10.

Excerpted from A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper by John Allen Paulos
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