Preface |
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xi | |
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Introductory Statistical Concepts |
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1 | (74) |
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Preliminaries and Overview |
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1 | (5) |
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Sampling Models and Likelihoods |
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6 | (13) |
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19 | (14) |
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Large Sample Properties of Likelihood Procedures |
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33 | (9) |
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42 | (3) |
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Some Further Properties of Likelihood |
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45 | (18) |
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63 | (3) |
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66 | (2) |
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A Model for Genetic Traits in Dairy Science |
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68 | (1) |
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Least Squares Regression with Serially Correlated Errors |
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68 | (1) |
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Annual World Crude Oil Production (1880-1972) |
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69 | (6) |
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The Discrete Version of Bayes' Theorem |
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75 | (23) |
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Preliminaries and Overview |
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75 | (1) |
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76 | (5) |
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Estimating a Discrete-Valued Parameter |
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81 | (1) |
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Applications to Model Selection |
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82 | (4) |
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86 | (2) |
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Logistic Discrimination and the Construction of Neural Nets |
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88 | (3) |
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Anderson's Prediction of Psychotic Patients |
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91 | (1) |
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The Ontario Fetal Metabolic Acidosis Study |
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92 | (4) |
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96 | (2) |
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Models with a Single Unknown Parameter |
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98 | (67) |
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Preliminaries and Overview |
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98 | (1) |
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99 | (6) |
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Posterior and Predictive Inferences |
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105 | (12) |
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117 | (3) |
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Inferences for a Normal Mean with Known Variance |
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120 | (10) |
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130 | (4) |
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134 | (8) |
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142 | (1) |
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Bayes Estimators and Decision Rules and Their Frequency Properties |
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143 | (12) |
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155 | (2) |
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157 | (6) |
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Practical Example: Mixtures of Normal Distributions |
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163 | (2) |
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The Expected Utility Hypothesis |
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165 | (24) |
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Preliminaries and Overview |
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165 | (1) |
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166 | (6) |
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172 | (4) |
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Modifications to the Expected Utility Hypothesis |
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176 | (3) |
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The Experimental Measurement of E-Adjusted Utility |
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179 | (3) |
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The Risk-Aversion Paradox |
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182 | (3) |
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185 | (2) |
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187 | (2) |
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Models with Several Unknown Parameters |
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189 | (53) |
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Preliminaries and Overview |
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189 | (1) |
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190 | (27) |
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Further Methods and Practical Examples |
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217 | (16) |
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233 | (4) |
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An On-Line Analysis of Chemical Process Readings |
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237 | (1) |
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An Industrial Control Chart |
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238 | (1) |
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Forecasting Geographical Proportions for World Sales of Fibers |
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239 | (1) |
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Bayesian Forecasting in Economics |
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240 | (2) |
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Prior Structuras, Posterior Smoothing, and Bayes-Stein Estimation |
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242 | (61) |
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Preliminaries and Overview |
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242 | (1) |
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Multivariate Normal Priors for the Transformed Parameters |
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243 | (10) |
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Posterior Mode Vectors and Laplacian Approximations |
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253 | (6) |
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Prior Structures, and Modeling for Nonrandomized Data |
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259 | (16) |
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Monte Carlo Methods and Importance Sampling |
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275 | (6) |
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Further Special Cases and Practical Examples |
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281 | (14) |
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Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) Methods: The Gibbs Sampler |
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295 | (1) |
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Modeling Sampling Distributions, Using MCMC |
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295 | (2) |
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Equally Weighted Mixtures and Survivor Functions |
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297 | (3) |
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A Hierarchical Bayes Analysis |
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300 | (3) |
References |
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303 | (18) |
Author Index |
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321 | (5) |
Subject Index |
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326 | |