Decision Making under Uncertainty with RISKOptimizer : A Step-to-Step Guide Using Palisade's RISKOptimizer for Excellence,9781893281011

Decision Making under Uncertainty with RISKOptimizer : A Step-to-Step Guide Using Palisade's RISKOptimizer for Excellence

by
ISBN13: 9781893281011
ISBN10: 1893281019
Format: Paperback
Pub. Date: 1999-06-01
Publisher(s): Palisade Corp
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Table of Contents

Introduction to RISKOptimizer: The Newsperson Problem
1(17)
RISKOptimizer Settings and Icons
4(9)
Normal Demand
13(1)
Managing Risk
14(3)
The Newsperson Problem with Control over Salvage Price
17(6)
The Multiproduct Newsperson Problem
23(4)
The Power Model-Fitting the Learning Curve
27(8)
Controlling both Price and Order Quantity
31(4)
The Newspaper Problem with Diversion
35(4)
Yield Management
39(4)
Optimal Ordering Policies for Style Goods
43(8)
The Product Mix Problem
51(6)
What If Resource Usage is Uncertain?
53(4)
Agricultural Planning Under Uncertainty
57(4)
Production Scheduling
61(4)
Manpower Scheduling Under Uncertainty
65(6)
Using a Cost Structure to Deal with Uncertainty
68(3)
Job Shop Scheduling
71(6)
Minimizing Total Lateness
75(1)
Minimizing Maximum Lateness
75(2)
Optimal Sampling
77(4)
Periodic Review Inventory Model
81(6)
Truck Loading
87(4)
Determining Optimal Capacity for a New Product
91(8)
Allowing Flexibility in the Capacity Decision
95(4)
Capital Budgeting with Uncertain Resource Usage
99(4)
The Miller-Orr Cash Management Model
103(6)
Using RISKOptimizer and Solver to Determine Optimal Plant Capacities
109(6)
Setting Up a Macro to Combine Solver and RISKOptimizer Sampling
111(1)
Using RISKOptimizer to Find Optimal Plant Capacities
112(3)
Modeling Managerial Flexibility
115(8)
Setting Up the Macro
120(1)
Using RISKOptimizer to find the Optimal Capacities
121(2)
Capacity Planning for an Electric Utility
123(6)
Setting Up the Solver Model
125(2)
Setting Up the Macro
127(1)
Using RISKOptimizer to find Optimal Plant Configuration
128(1)
Retirement Planning
129(10)
A More Conservative Approach
133(1)
Reducing the Length of the Planning Horizon
134(1)
Using Utility Theory to Incorporate Risk Aversion
134(3)
Using RISKOptimizer to Maximize Expected Utility
137(2)
Machine Replacement Models
139(6)
Using RISKOptimizer to Optimize Audit Sampling
145(8)
Stratified Sampling
148(5)
The Risk Neutral Approach to Option Pricing
153(4)
Option Definitions
153(1)
Arbitrage Arguments and the Risk Neutral Approach
154(1)
Example of Risk Neutral Approach
155(2)
The Lognormal Model of Stock Prices
157(6)
Risk Neutral Valuation
158(1)
Historical Estimation of Mean and Volatility of Stock Return
158(3)
Finding Mean and Variance of a Lognormal Random Variable
161(1)
Confidence Intervals for a Lognormal Random Variable
162(1)
Optimal Hedging of Dell Computer Investment
163(10)
Estimating Volatility
163(2)
Using Simulation to Price the Put
165(3)
Value at Risk
168(3)
Maximizing the Sharpe Ratio
171(2)
Foreign Exchange Options and Hedging Foreign Exchange Risk
173(8)
Hedging a Minor Currency with a Related Currency
177(4)
Hedging with Futures
181(10)
Pricing of Futures Contracts
181(1)
An Overview of Hedging
182(4)
Hedging Commodity Risk when Production is correlated with Price
186(5)
Controlling VAR with Correlated Assets
191(4)
An Introduction to Real Options: Modeling a Gold Mine Lease and Expansion
195(6)
Valuing an Expansion Option
197(4)
Modeling a Startup and Shutdown Option
201(4)
Timing Market Entry
205(6)
Test-Marketing a New Product
211(8)
What about if Decision-Maker is Risk Averse?
219

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