Elliott Wave Principle Key to Market Behavior

by ; ;
Edition: 1st
Format: Paperback
Pub. Date: 2001-02-08
Publisher(s): WILEY
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Summary

Recipient of the Technical Analysis Association's Award of Excellence

Author Biography

<B> ROBERT R. PRECHTER JR</B>. is author of several books on the markets and editor of two monthly forecasting publications, <I>The Elliott Wave Theorist </I>and <I>Global Market Perspective</I>. The Hulbert rating service reports that <I>The Theorist </I>exceeded the performance of the Wilshire 5000 over 131/2 year period ending December 31, 1993, while being exposed to market risk only 500f the time. EWT has won <I>Hard Money Digest's </I>"Award of Excellence" twice and <I>Timer Digest's </I>"Timer of the Year" twice, the only newsletter to do so. In 1984, Mr Prechter set an all time record in the United States Trading Championship by returning 444.4 0n a monitored real-money options account in the four month contest period. In December 1989, Financial News Network named him "Guru of the Decade". In 1990-1991, Mr Prechter serves as President of the Market Technicians Association in its twenty-first year. <BR> Mr Prechter's latest venture is Elliott Wave International, which provides monthly and intraday analysis on stock markets, currencies, interest rates, commodities and social trends to institutional and private investors around the world. <BR> Mr. Prechter attended Yale University on a full scholarship and graduated in 1971 with a degree in psychology. He began his career as a Technical Market Specialist with the Merrill Lynch Market Analysis Department in New York, where his original work with the Wave Principle led to a small but loyal following, introduction to A.J. Frost and ultimately this book. <BR> <B>A.J. FROST</B> C.F.A., a graduate of Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, started his career as a legal accountant. He achieved his objective on being admitted to the Ontario Institute of Chartered Accountants in 1934 and on his call to the Ontario Bar in 1937. In 1959, he was elected a fellow in the Institute for distinguished service to the accountancy profession. He served as Chairman of the National Capital commissions (Canada) for two years and later sat on the bench as a member of the Tax Appeal Board, Tax Review Board and Anti-Inflation Appeal tribunal. He has handed down many decisions in the field of income tax law. During his career, Mr Frost served on two university councils and the boards of several Canadian corporations. <BR> In 1960, Mr. Frost became a partner of the late Hamilton Bolton, who introduced him ot the Elliott Wave Principle. After Bolton's death in 1967, he wrote two Elliott Wave Supplements for the firm of Bolton-Tremblay, the editors of the <I>Bank Credit Analyst</I>. In 1977, Mr Frost delivered a speech on the Elliott Wave Principle before the Market Technicians Associations. There he met Mr. Prechter, whom he found to have remarkably compatible ideas despite their separation by two generations and national boundary. Mr. Frost provided weekly market commentary on Financial New Network and was one of the most frequently requested speakers for meetings of the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts. 17 02 Robert R. Prechter, Jr. Robert R. Prechter, Jr. is author of several books on the markets and editor of two monthly forecasting publications, The Elliott Wave Theorist and Global Market Perspective. The Hulbert rating service reports that The Theorist exceeded the performance of the Wilshire 5000 over the 131/2 year period ending December 31, 1993, while being exposed to market risk only 500f the time. EWT has won Hard Money Digest&#146;s &quot;Award of Excellence&quot; twice and Timer Digest&#146;s &quot;Timer of the Year&quot; twice, the only newsletter to do so. In 1984, Mr. Prechter set an all time record in the United States Trading Championship by returning 444.4 0n a monitored real-money options account in the four month contest period. In December 1989, Financial News Network named him &quot;Guru of the Decade&quot;. In 1990&#150;1991, Mr. Prechter served as President of the Market Technicians Association in its twenty-first year.

Table of Contents

Publisher's Note for the 20th Anniversary Edition 3(2)
Acknowledgments 5(6)
Foreword 11(4)
Author's Note 15(2)
PART I: ELLIOTT THEORY 17(106)
The Broad Concept
19(42)
Basic Tenets
20(10)
Detailed Analytics
30(1)
Motive Waves
30(10)
Impulse
30(1)
Extension
31(3)
Truncation
34(2)
Ending Diagonal
36(3)
Leading Diagonal
39(1)
Corrective Waves
40(15)
Zigzag
41(4)
Flat
45(3)
Horizontal Triangle
48(4)
Combination (Double and Triple Three)
52(2)
Orthodox Tops and Bottoms
54(1)
Reconciling Function and Mode
55(1)
Additional Terminology
55(2)
Erroneous Concepts and Patterns
57(4)
Guidelines of Wave Formation
61(30)
Alternation
61(3)
Depth of Corrective Waves
64(2)
Behavior Following Fifth Wave Extensions
66(1)
Wave Equality
67(1)
Charting the Waves
68(1)
Channeling
69(2)
Throw-over
71(1)
Scale
72(2)
Volume
74(1)
The ``Right Look''
75(1)
Wave Personality
76(8)
Learning the Basics
84(2)
Practical Application
86(5)
Historical and Mathematical Background of the Wave Principle
91(32)
Leonardo Fibonacci da Pisa
91(3)
The Fibonacci Sequence
94(7)
The Golden Section
101(1)
The Golden Rectangle
102(2)
The Golden Spiral
104(3)
The Meaning of Phi
107(7)
Fibonacci in the Spiraling Stock Market
114(2)
Fibonacci Mathematics in the Structure of the Wave Principle
116(3)
Phi and Additive Growth
119(4)
PART II: ELLIOTT APPLIED 123(82)
Ratio Analysis and Fibonacci Time Sequences
125(22)
Ratio Analysis
125(6)
Retracements
127(1)
Motive Wave Multiples
128(1)
Corrective Wave Multiples
129(2)
Applied Ratio Analysis
131(6)
Multiple Wave Relationships
137(2)
Fibonacci Time Sequences
139(2)
Benner's Theory
141(6)
Long Term Waves and an Up-to-Date Composite
147(14)
The Millennium Wave from the Dark Ages
151(1)
The Grand Supercycle Wave from 1789 to Present
152(4)
The Supercycle Wave from 1932
156(5)
Stocks and Commodities
161(14)
Individual Stocks
161(4)
Commodities
165(5)
Gold
170(5)
Other Approaches to the Stock Market and Their Relationship to the Wave Principle
175(16)
Dow Theory
175(2)
The ``Kondratieff Wave'' Economic Cycle
177(3)
Cycles
180(1)
News
181(2)
Random Walk Theory
183(1)
Technical Analysis
184(3)
The ``Economic Analysis'' Approach
187(2)
Exogenous Forces
189(2)
Elliott Speaks
191(14)
The Next Ten Years
191(8)
Nature's Law
199(6)
Appendix: Long Term Forecast Update, 1982-1983 205(31)
Glossary 236(1)
Publisher's Postscript 237

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