The Future of Turkish-Western Relations Toward a Strategic Plan

by ; ;
Format: Paperback
Pub. Date: 2000-08-08
Publisher(s): RAND Corporation
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Summary

At the European Union's Helsinki Summit in December 1999, Turkey was declared a candidate for EU membership. But European and U.S. stakes in Turkey continue to evolve in today's post-Cold War era, influenced in no small part by Turkey's geopolitical position as a pivotal state. The United States is concerned with Turkish support for U.S. freedom of action in key regions, and Turkey wants to ensure that it will have EU and U.S. assistance in managing its own regional challenges. Explores the significance of changes on the Turkish domestic scene, as well as the contours of Ankara's increasingly active external policies. The report goes on to discuss Western stakes in the future of a changing Turkey. The authors offer an agenda for closer strategic cooperation in the U.S.-Turkish-European triangle, focusing on key issues such as relations with Russia, energy security, containing weapons proliferation risks in the Middle East, and reinforcing Turkish convergence with the European Union.

Table of Contents

Preface iii
Figures
vii
Summary ix
Acknowledgments xiii
Introduction
1(4)
New Stakes, New Opportunities
1(3)
Structure of the Report
4(1)
Changes On The Turkish Domestic Scene And Their Foreign Policy Implications
5(16)
Rising Nationalism and Its Counterweights
5(9)
Traditional Versus Modern Worldviews
14(2)
Emergence of a Dynamic Private Sector
16(3)
A More Stable Internal Environment?
19(2)
Turkish Foreign And Security Policy: New Dimensions And New Challenges
21(32)
The Russian Factor
22(3)
Cyprus
23(1)
The Kurdish Issue
23(1)
Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE)
23(1)
Chechnya
24(1)
Central Asia and the Caucasus
25(3)
The Caucasus
28(3)
The Middle East
31(5)
The Balkans
36(3)
Relations with Europe
39(2)
NATO and ESDI
41(2)
Greece and Cyprus
43(2)
The American Connection
45(3)
Conclusion: Turkey's Strategic Options
48(5)
Western Interests In A Changing Turkey
53(26)
Transregional Issues and Opportunities
53(1)
Changing Definition of European Security
54(2)
New Security Geometries
56(1)
A Pivotal State?
57(4)
Thinking Through U.S. Stakes
61(14)
Stability and Democracy
61(4)
A Positive Regional Actor
65(6)
Enhancing U.S. Freedom of Action
71(4)
Elements of Continuity and Change
75(2)
Policy Implications
77(2)
A Strategic Plan For Western-Turkish Relations
79
The Impact of the End of the Cold War
79
Elements of a New Strategic Partnership Between the United States, Western Europe, and Turkey
82
Energy Security
82
Countering the Threat of Weapons of Mass Destruction and Missiles
86
``Congage'' Russia
89
Deepening Turkish Integration in the West
93
Conclusion
95

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