
Macroeconomics Principles and Policy (with InfoTrac)
by Baumol, William J.; Blinder, Alan S.-
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Summary
Table of Contents
Preface | p. xvii |
Getting Acquainted With Economics | p. 1 |
What is Economics? | p. 3 |
Ideas for Beyond the Final Exam | p. 4 |
How Much Does It Really Cost? | p. 4 |
Attempts to Repeal the Laws of Supply and Demand-The Market Strikes Back | p. 5 |
The Surprising Principle of Comparative Advantage | p. 5 |
Trade Is a Win-Win Situation | p. 5 |
Government Policies Can Limit Economic Fluctuations-But Don't Always Succeed | p. 6 |
The Short-Run Trade-Off between Inflation and Unemployment | p. 6 |
Productivity Growth Is (Almost) Everything in the Long Run | p. 6 |
Epilogue | p. 7 |
Inside The Economist's Tool Kit | p. 7 |
Economics as a Discipline | p. 7 |
The Need for Abstraction | p. 7 |
The Role of Economic Theory | p. 9 |
What Is an Economic Model? | p. 10 |
Reasons for Disagreements: Imperfect Information and Value Judgments | p. 11 |
Summary | p. 12 |
Key Terms | p. 12 |
Discussion Questions | p. 12 |
Using Graphs: A Review | p. 12 |
Graphs Used In Economic Analysis | p. 13 |
Two-Variable Diagrams | p. 13 |
The Definition and Measurement of Slope | p. 14 |
Rays Through the Origin and 45[degree] Lines | p. 14 |
Squeezing Three Dimensions Into Two: Contour Maps | p. 16 |
Summary | p. 17 |
Key Terms | p. 17 |
Test Yourself | p. 18 |
The Economy: Myth and Reality | p. 19 |
The American Economy: A Thumbnail Sketch | p. 20 |
A Private-Enterprise Economy | p. 21 |
A Relatively "Closed" Economy | p. 21 |
A Growing Economy... | p. 22 |
But with Bumps along the Growth Path | p. 22 |
The Inputs: Labor and Capital | p. 23 |
The American Workforce: Who Is in It? | p. 23 |
The American Workforce: What Does It Do? | p. 25 |
The American Workforce: What It Earns | p. 27 |
Capital and Its Earnings | p. 27 |
The Outputs: What Does America Produce? | p. 28 |
The Central Role of Business Firms | p. 28 |
What's Missing From the Picture? Government | p. 29 |
The Government as Referee | p. 30 |
The Government as Business Regulator | p. 30 |
Government Expenditures | p. 31 |
Part 3: The Goal of Low Inflation | p. 109 |
Inflation: The Myth and the Reality | p. 109 |
Inflation and Real Wages | p. 109 |
The Importance of Relative Prices | p. 111 |
Inflation as a Redistributor of Income and Wealth | p. 112 |
Real Versus Nominal Interest Rates | p. 112 |
Inflation Distorts Measurements | p. 113 |
Confusing Real and Nominal Interest Rates | p. 113 |
The Malfunctioning Tax System | p. 114 |
Other Costs of Inflation | p. 114 |
The Costs of Low Versus High Inflation | p. 115 |
Low Inflation Does Not Necessarily Lead to High Inflation | p. 116 |
Summary | p. 117 |
Key Terms | p. 118 |
Test Yourself | p. 118 |
Discussion Questions | p. 118 |
How Statisticians Measure Inflation | p. 119 |
Index Numbers for Inflation | p. 119 |
The Consumer Price Index | p. 119 |
Using A Price Index to "Deflate" Monetary Figures | p. 120 |
Using A Price Index to Measure Inflation | p. 120 |
The GDP Deflator | p. 120 |
Summary | p. 121 |
Key Terms | p. 121 |
Test Yourself | p. 121 |
Economic Growth: Theory and Policy | p. 123 |
Puzzle: Why Does College Education Keep Getting More Expensive? | p. 124 |
The Three Pillars of Productivity Growth | p. 124 |
Capital | p. 125 |
Technology | p. 125 |
Labor Quality: Education and Training | p. 126 |
Levels, Growth Rates, and the Convergence Hypothesis | p. 126 |
Growth Policy: Encouraging Capital Formation | p. 128 |
Growth Policy: Improving Education and Training | p. 130 |
Growth Policy: Spurring Technological Change | p. 132 |
The Productivity Slowdown and Speed-Up in The United States | p. 133 |
The Productivity Slowdown, 1973-1995 | p. 134 |
The Productivity Speed-up, 1995-?? | p. 135 |
Puzzle Resolved: Why the Relative Price of College Tuition Keeps Rising | p. 136 |
Growth in the Developing Countries | p. 137 |
The Three Pillars Revisited | p. 137 |
Some Special Problems of the Developing Countries | p. 139 |
From the Long Run to the Short Run | p. 140 |
Summary | p. 140 |
Key Terms | p. 140 |
Test Yourself | p. 141 |
Discussion Questions | p. 141 |
Aggregate Demand and the Powerful Consumer | p. 143 |
Issue: Demand Management and the Ornery Consumer | p. 144 |
Aggregate Demand, Domestic Product, and National Income | p. 144 |
The Circular Flow of Spending, Production, and Income | p. 145 |
Consumer Spending and Income: The Important Relationship | p. 147 |
The Consumption Function and the Marginal Propensity to Consume | p. 150 |
Factors That Shift the Consumption Function | p. 151 |
Issue Revisited: Why the Tax Rebates Failed in 1975 and 2001 | p. 152 |
The Extreme Variability of Investment | p. 154 |
The Determinants of Net Exports | p. 154 |
National Incomes | p. 155 |
Relative Prices and Exchange Rates | p. 155 |
How Predictable is Aggregate Demand? | p. 155 |
Summary | p. 156 |
Key Terms | p. 157 |
Test Yourself | p. 157 |
Discussion Questions | p. 157 |
National Income Accounting | p. 158 |
Defining Gdp: Exceptions to the Rules | p. 158 |
Gdp as the Sum of Final Goods and Services | p. 158 |
Gdp as the Sum of All Factor Payments | p. 159 |
Gdp as the Sum of Values Added | p. 161 |
Summary | p. 162 |
Key Terms | p. 162 |
Test Yourself | p. 162 |
Discussion Questions | p. 163 |
Demand-Side Equilibrium: Unemployment or Inflation? | p. 165 |
Issue: Why Does the Market Permit Unemployment? | p. 166 |
The Meaning of Equilibrium Gdp | p. 166 |
The Mechanics of Income Determination | p. 167 |
The Aggregate Demand Curve | p. 170 |
Demand-Side Equilibrium and Full Employment | p. 172 |
The Coordination of Saving and Investment | p. 173 |
Changes on the Demand Side: Multiplier Analysis | p. 174 |
The Magic of the Multiplier | p. 175 |
Demystifying the Multiplier: How It Works | p. 176 |
Algebraic Statement of the Multiplier | p. 177 |
The Multiplier is a General Concept | p. 179 |
The Multiplier and the Aggregate Demand Curve | p. 180 |
Summary | p. 181 |
Key Terms | p. 182 |
Test Yourself | p. 182 |
Discussion Questions | p. 183 |
The Simple Algebra of Income Determination and the Multiplier | p. 183 |
Test Yourself | p. 184 |
Discussion Questions | p. 184 |
The Multiplier With Variable Imports | p. 184 |
Summary | p. 187 |
Test Yourself | p. 187 |
Discussion Question | p. 187 |
Supply-side Equilibrium: Unemployment and Inflation? | p. 189 |
Puzzle: Why Did Inflation Fall While the Economy Boomed? | p. 190 |
The Aggregate Supply Curve | p. 190 |
Why the Aggregate Supply Gurve Slopes Upward | p. 190 |
Shifts of the Agregate Supply Curve | p. 191 |
Equilibrium of Aggregate Demand and Supply | p. 193 |
Inflation and the Multiplier | p. 194 |
Recessionary and Inflationary Gaps Revisited | p. 195 |
Adjusting to a Recessionary Gap: Deflation or Unemployment? | p. 197 |
Does the Economy Have a Self-Correcting Mechanism? | p. 198 |
An example from Recent History: Deflation in Japan | p. 198 |
Adjusting to an Inflationary Gap: Inflation | p. 198 |
Demand Inflation and Stagflation | p. 199 |
A U.S. Example | p. 200 |
Stagflation from a Supply Shock | p. 201 |
Applying the Model to a Growing Economy | p. 202 |
Demand-Side Fluctuations | p. 202 |
Supply-Side Fluctuation | p. 203 |
Puzzle Resolved: Explaining The Roaring Nineties | p. 205 |
A Role for Stabilization Policy | p. 205 |
Summary | p. 205 |
Key Terms | p. 206 |
Test Yourself | p. 206 |
Discussion Questions | p. 206 |
Fiscal and Monetary Policy | p. 207 |
Managing Aggregate Demand: Fiscal Policy | p. 209 |
Issue: Aggregate Demand, Aggregate Supply, and The Tax-Cut Debate of 2004 | p. 210 |
Income Taxes and the Consumption Schedule | p. 210 |
The Multiplier Revisited | p. 211 |
The Tax Multiplier | p. 211 |
Income Taxes and the Multiplier | p. 211 |
Automatic Stabilizers | p. 212 |
Government Transfer Payments | p. 213 |
Issue Revisited: The Bush-Kerry Debate over Taxes and Spending | p. 214 |
Planning Expansionary Fiscal Policy | p. 214 |
Planning Contractionary Fiscal Policy | p. 215 |
The Choice Between Spending Policy and Tax Policy | p. 215 |
Issue Redux: Bush versus Kerry | p. 216 |
Some Harsh Realities | p. 216 |
The Idea Behind Supply-Side Tax Cuts | p. 217 |
Some Flies in the Ointment | p. 218 |
Issue: Kerry and Bush Once More | p. 219 |
Toward an Assessment of Supply-Side Economics | p. 220 |
Summary | p. 221 |
Key Terms | p. 221 |
Test Yourself | p. 221 |
Discussion Questions | p. 222 |
Graphical Treatment of Taxes and Fiscal Policy | p. 222 |
Multipliers for Tax Policy | p. 224 |
Summary | p. 225 |
Key Terms | p. 225 |
Test Yourself | p. 225 |
Discussion Questions | p. 225 |
Algebraic Treatment of Fiscal Policy | p. 225 |
Test Yourself | p. 227 |
Money and the Banking System | p. 229 |
Issue: Why Are Banks so Heavily Regulated? | p. 230 |
The Nature of Money | p. 230 |
Barter versus Monetary Exchange | p. 231 |
The Conceptual Definition of Money | p. 232 |
What Serves as Money? | p. 232 |
How the Quantity of Money Is Measured | p. 234 |
M1 | p. 234 |
M2 | p. 235 |
Other Definitions of the Money Supply | p. 235 |
The Banking System | p. 236 |
How Banking Began | p. 236 |
Principles of Bank Management: Profits versus Safety | p. 237 |
Bank Regulation | p. 238 |
The Origins of the Money Supply | p. 239 |
How Bankers Keep Books | p. 239 |
Banks and Money Creation | p. 240 |
The Limits to Money Creation by a Single Bank | p. 240 |
Multiple Money Creation by a Series of Banks | p. 241 |
The Process in Reverse: Multiple Contractions of the Money Supply | p. 244 |
Why the Money Creation Formula is Oversimplified | p. 245 |
The Need for Monetary Policy | p. 246 |
Summary | p. 247 |
Key Terms | p. 247 |
Test Yourself | p. 248 |
Discussion Questions | p. 248 |
Managing Aggregate Demand: Monetary Policy | p. 249 |
Issue: Just Why Is Alan Greenspan so Important? | p. 250 |
Money and Income: The Important Difference | p. 250 |
America's Central Bank: The Federal Reserve System | p. 251 |
Origins and Structure | p. 251 |
Central Bank Independence | p. 252 |
Implementing Monetary Policy: Open-Market Operations | p. 253 |
The Market for Bank Reserves | p. 253 |
The Mechanics of an Open-Market Operation | p. 254 |
Open-Market Operations, Bond Prices, and Interest Rates | p. 256 |
Other Methods of Monetary Control | p. 256 |
Lending to Banks | p. 257 |
Changing Reserve Requirements | p. 258 |
How Monetary Policy Works | p. 258 |
Investment and Interest Rates | p. 259 |
Monetary Policy and Total Expenditure | p. 259 |
Money and the Price Level in the Keynesian Model | p. 260 |
Application: Why the Aggregate Demand Curve Slopes Downward | p. 261 |
From Models to Policy Debates | p. 262 |
Summary | p. 262 |
Key Terms | p. 263 |
Test Yourself | p. 263 |
Discussion Questions | p. 264 |
The Debate over Monetary and Fiscal Policy | p. 265 |
Issue: Should We Forsake Stabilization Policy? | p. 266 |
Velocity and the Quantity Theory of Money | p. 266 |
Some Determinants of Velocity | p. 268 |
Monetarism: The Quantity Theory Modernized | p. 269 |
Fiscal Policy, Interest Rates, and Velocity | p. 269 |
Application: The Multiplier Formula Revisited | p. 270 |
Application: The Government Budget and Investment | p. 271 |
Debate: Should We Rely on Fiscal or Monetary Policy? | p. 271 |
Debate: Should the Fed Control the Money Supply or Interest Rates? | p. 272 |
Two Imperfect Alternatives | p. 274 |
What Has the Fed Actually Done? | p. 274 |
Debate: The Shape of the Aggregate Supply Curve | p. 275 |
Debate: Should the Government Intervene? | p. 277 |
Lags and the Rules-versus-Discretion Debate | p. 279 |
Dimensions of the Rules-Versus-Discretion Debate | p. 279 |
How Fast Does the Economy's Self-Correcting Mechanism Work? | p. 279 |
How Long Are the Lags in Stabilization Policy? | p. 280 |
How Accurate Are Economic Forcasts? | p. 280 |
The Size of Government | p. 280 |
Uncertainties Caused by Government Policy | p. 280 |
A Political Business Cycle? | p. 281 |
Issue Revisited: What Should Be Done? | p. 282 |
Summary | p. 283 |
Key Terms | p. 284 |
Test Yourself | p. 284 |
Discussion Questions | p. 284 |
Budget Deficits in the Short and Long Run | p. 287 |
Issue: Did the September 2001 Terrorist Attacks Warrant Fiscal Stimulus? | p. 288 |
Should the Budget be Balanced? The Short Run | p. 288 |
The Importance of the Policy Mix | p. 289 |
Surpluses and Deficits: The Long Run | p. 290 |
Deficits and Debt: Terminology and Facts | p. 291 |
Some Facts about the National Debt | p. 291 |
Interpreting the Budget Deficit or Surplus | p. 293 |
The Structural Deficit or Surplus | p. 293 |
On-Budget versus Off-Budget Surpluses | p. 295 |
Conclusion: What Happened after 1981? | p. 295 |
Why Is the National Debt Considered a Burden? | p. 296 |
Budget Deficits and Inflation | p. 297 |
The Monetization Issue | p. 297 |
Debt, Interest Rates, and Crowding Out | p. 298 |
The Bottom Line | p. 300 |
The Main Burden of the National Debt: Slower Growth | p. 300 |
Issue Revisited: Was Fiscal Stimulus Warranted in 2001? | p. 301 |
The Economics and Politics of the U.S. Budget Deficit | p. 302 |
Summary | p. 303 |
Key Terms | p. 303 |
Test Yourself | p. 304 |
Discussion Questions | p. 304 |
The Trade-Off Between Inflation and Unemployment | p. 305 |
Issue: Is the Trade-off Between Inflation and Unemployment a Relic of the Past? | p. 306 |
Demand-Side Inflation Versus Supply-Side Inflation: A Review | p. 306 |
Origins of the Phillips Curve | p. 307 |
Supply-Side Inflation and the Collapse of the Phillips Curve | p. 309 |
Explaining the Fabulous 1990s | p. 309 |
Issue Resolved: Why Inflation and Unemployment Both Declined | p. 310 |
What the Phillips Curve Is Not | p. 310 |
Fighting Unemployment With Fiscal and Monetary Policy | p. 312 |
What Should Be Done? | p. 313 |
The Costs of Inflation and Unemployment | p. 313 |
The Slope of the (Short-Run) Phillips Curve | p. 313 |
The Efficiency of the Economy's Self-Correcting Mechanism | p. 313 |
Inflationary Expections and the Phillips Curve | p. 314 |
The Theory of Rational Expecations | p. 316 |
What Are Rational Expectations? | p. 316 |
Rational Expectations and the Trade-Off | p. 317 |
An Evaluation | p. 317 |
Why Economists (And Politicians) Disagree | p. 318 |
The Dilemma of Demand Management | p. 319 |
Attempts to Reduce the Natural Rate of Unemployment | p. 319 |
Indexing | p. 320 |
Summary | p. 321 |
Key Terms | p. 322 |
Test Yourself | p. 322 |
Discussion Questions | p. 322 |
The United States in the World Economy | p. 323 |
Intenational Trade and Comparative Advantage | p. 325 |
ISSUE: How Can Americans Compete with "Cheap Foreign Labor"? | p. 326 |
Why Trade? | p. 327 |
Mutual Gains from Trade | p. 327 |
International Versus Intranational Trade | p. 328 |
Political Factors in International Trade | p. 328 |
The many Currencies Involved in International Trade | p. 328 |
Impediments to Mobility of Labor and Capital | p. 328 |
The Law of Comparative Advantage | p. 329 |
The Arithmetic of Comparative Advantage | p. 329 |
The Graphics of Comparative Advantage | p. 330 |
ISSUE RESOLVED: Comparative Advantage Exposes the "Cheap Foreign Labor" Fallacy | p. 333 |
Tariffs, Quotas, and Other Interferences With Trade | p. 333 |
Tariffs versus Quotas | p. 335 |
Why Inhibit Trade? | p. 335 |
Gaining a Price Advantage for Domestic Firms | p. 335 |
Protecting Particular Industries | p. 336 |
National Defense and Other Noneconomic Considerations | p. 337 |
The Infant-Industry Argument | p. 338 |
Strategic Trade Policy | p. 338 |
Can Cheap Imports Hurt a Country? | p. 339 |
A Last Look at the "Cheap Foreign Labor" Argument | p. 340 |
Summary | p. 341 |
Key Terms | p. 342 |
Test Yourself | p. 342 |
Discussion Questions | p. 342 |
Supply, Demand, and pricing in World Trade | p. 343 |
How Tariffs and Quotas Work | p. 344 |
Summary | p. 345 |
Test Yourself | p. 345 |
The International Monetary System: Order or Disorder? | p. 347 |
PUZZLE: Why Has the Dollar Been Sagging? | p. 348 |
What are Exchange Rates? | p. 348 |
Exchange Rate Determination in a Free Market | p. 349 |
Interest Rates and Exchange Rates: The Short Run | p. 351 |
Economic Activity and Exchange Rates: The Medium Run | p. 352 |
The Purchasing-Power Parity Theory: The Long Run | p. 352 |
Market Determination of Exchange Rates: Summary | p. 354 |
When Governments Fix Exchange Rates: The Balance of Payments | p. 355 |
A Bit of History: The Gold Standard and the Bretton Woods System | p. 356 |
The Classical Gold Standard | p. 356 |
The Bretton Woods System | p. 357 |
Adjustment Mechanisms Under Fixed Exchange Rates | p. 358 |
Why Try to Fix Exchange Rates? | p. 358 |
The Current "Nonsystem" | p. 359 |
The Role of the IMF | p. 360 |
The Volatile Dollar | p. 360 |
The Birth of the Euro | p. 362 |
PUZZLE RESOLVED: Why the Dollar Rose and then Fell | p. 362 |
Summary | p. 363 |
Key Terms | p. 363 |
Test Yourself | p. 364 |
Discussion Questions | p. 364 |
Exchange Rates and the Macroeconomy | p. 365 |
ISSUE: Should the U.S. Government Try to Stop the Dollar from Falling? | p. 366 |
International Trade, Exchange Rates, and Aggregate Demand | p. 366 |
Relative Prices, Exports, and Imports | p. 366 |
The Effects of Changes in Exchange Rates | p. 367 |
Aggregate Supply in an Open Economy | p. 368 |
The Macroeconomic Effects of Exchange Rates | p. 368 |
Interest Rates and International Capital Flows | p. 369 |
Fiscal and Monetary Policies in an Open Economy | p. 370 |
Fiscal Policy Revisited | p. 370 |
Monetary Policy Revisited | p. 371 |
International Aspects of Deficit Reduction | p. 372 |
The Loose Link between the Budget Deficit and the Trade Deficit | p. 373 |
Is the Trade Deficit a Problem? | p. 374 |
On Curing the Trade Deficit | p. 374 |
Change the Mix of Fiscal and Monetary Policy | p. 374 |
More Rapid Economic Growth Abroad | p. 375 |
Raise Domestic Saving or Reduce Domestic Investment | p. 375 |
Protectionism | p. 375 |
Conclusion: No Nation is an Island | p. 376 |
ISSUE REVISITED: Should the Dollar Be Allowed to Fall? | p. 376 |
Summary | p. 377 |
Key Terms | p. 377 |
Test Yourself | p. 378 |
Discussion Questions | p. 378 |
Glossary | p. 379 |
Index | p. 387 |
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