Acknowledgments |
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xiii | |
Introduction |
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3 | (6) |
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I. Historical and Methodological Context |
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9 | (74) |
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11 | (22) |
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North American Institutions |
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12 | (8) |
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Adjudication of Insanity Acquittees |
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20 | (6) |
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26 | (1) |
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Mentally Disordered Offenders in Ontario |
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27 | (2) |
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29 | (2) |
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31 | (2) |
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Previous Research on Prediction |
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33 | (16) |
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Empirical Prediction of Recidivism |
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35 | (6) |
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41 | (7) |
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48 | (1) |
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49 | (12) |
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49 | (1) |
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50 | (1) |
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Thinking About Effect Sizes |
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51 | (4) |
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Measuring Predictive Accuracy |
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55 | (6) |
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61 | (22) |
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61 | (1) |
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62 | (1) |
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63 | (6) |
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Clinical and Actuarial Models |
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69 | (4) |
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Evidence-Based Clinical Practice in Forensic Facilities |
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73 | (1) |
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Professional Training and Expertise |
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74 | (9) |
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II. A New Generation of Follow-Up Studies |
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83 | (70) |
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Mentally Disordered Offenders |
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85 | (30) |
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Characteristics of Mentally Disordered Offenders |
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86 | (5) |
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A Follow-Up of a Maximum-Security Token Economy |
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91 | (1) |
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A Comparative Follow-Up of a Maximum-Security Therapeutic Community |
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92 | (8) |
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A Follow-Up of Insanity Acquittees and a Comparison Sample of Correctional Inmates |
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100 | (3) |
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A Comparison of Criminal Recidivism Among Schizophrenic and Nonschizophrenic Offenders |
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103 | (5) |
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Psychiatric Comorbidity and the Prediction of Violence |
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108 | (5) |
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113 | (2) |
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115 | (16) |
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115 | (3) |
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Characteristics of Fire Setters |
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118 | (3) |
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Social Competence of Fire Setters |
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121 | (1) |
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122 | (2) |
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Assessing Risk Among Fire Setters |
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124 | (2) |
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Oak Ridge Study of Risk Assessment Among Fire Setters |
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126 | (5) |
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131 | (22) |
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Sex Offenders and Sexual Deviance |
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133 | (7) |
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Is There a Sex Offender Psychology? |
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140 | (1) |
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Predictors of Recidivism Among Sex Offenders |
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141 | (7) |
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Treatment and Recidivism Among Sex Offenders |
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148 | (2) |
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150 | (3) |
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III. Development of Violence Prediction Instruments |
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153 | (72) |
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Actuarial Prediction of Violence |
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155 | (42) |
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155 | (8) |
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Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) |
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163 | (6) |
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169 | (2) |
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171 | (9) |
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Redundancy and Robustness of the VRAG |
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180 | (3) |
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An Analysis of Replications of the VRAG and SORAG |
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183 | (9) |
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192 | (5) |
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Criticisms of Actuarial Risk Assessment |
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197 | (28) |
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Twenty Arguments Against Actuarial Risk Appraisal |
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199 | (20) |
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Presenting Evidence About Actuarial Risk Appraisal |
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219 | (6) |
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IV. Altering the Risk of Violence and Conclusions |
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225 | (54) |
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227 | (40) |
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Planning Institutional Treatment Programs |
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228 | (21) |
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Process of Recidivism and Relapse Prevention |
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249 | (3) |
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252 | (13) |
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265 | (2) |
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267 | (12) |
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Actuarial Prediction and Theory |
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269 | (10) |
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279 | (4) |
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283 | (110) |
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A. Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) |
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283 | (4) |
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B. Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide (SORAG) |
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287 | (4) |
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C. Normative Data on the Distribution of Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) and Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide (SORAG) Scores |
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291 | (2) |
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D. Technical Questions About the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) and the Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide (SORAG) |
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293 | (16) |
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E. Cormier-Lang System for Quantifying Criminal History |
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309 | (4) |
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F. Guidelines for the Compilation of a Psychosocial History Suitable for Risk Appraisal |
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313 | (18) |
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G. Sample Psychosocial History Suitable for Use in Scoring the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) and the Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide (SORAG) |
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331 | (10) |
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H. Scoring the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) From a Psychosocial History |
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341 | (6) |
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I. Scoring the Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide (SORAG) From a Psychosocial History |
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347 | (6) |
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J. Actuarial Risk Appraisal Report for an Offender |
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353 | (8) |
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K. Sample Psychosocial History and Scoring of the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) for a Psychiatric Offender |
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361 | (18) |
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L. Problem Identification Checklist (File Version) |
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379 | (4) |
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M. Proximal Risk Factor Scale |
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383 | (2) |
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N. Dynamic Risk Appraisal Scale |
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385 | (6) |
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O. Cross-Sectional Oak Ridge Statistics Over 35 Years |
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391 | (2) |
References |
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393 | (46) |
Author Index |
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439 | (10) |
Subject Index |
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449 | (12) |
About the Authors |
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461 | |